Medpedia

Sep 05, 11 11:43PM | 0 comments

Temple in the rain @ China By Yorick_R, http://www.flickr.com/photos/yorickr/5905162253/

The idea that climate change is linked to the spread of a disease is not new. Some bacteria and viruses, after all, piggyback on an animal or insect, and the infectious advance depends on the host’s reaction to climbing temperatures. Consider dengue, a disease once anchored to tropical climates by its host’s penchant for heat and humidity, which is now pushing further north with its mosquito transits as the upper latitudes get warmer. But according to a study published this past June in PNAS, it’s not only climbing temperatures that are worrisome; in the past, even heavy rains have altered the course of disease, though often in divergent directions.

During the third plague pandemic (China, 1850-1964), researchers found that, for better or worse, the seasonal rains were a strong predictor of how the disease spread. There, storms governed Pestilence’s toll, prodding the disease in the arid north, and quelling it in the humid south.

Rats are the primary host for the bubonic plague, and in general, the more that infected rats move, the more the disease will spread. In the dry north, they figure, the rains quenched the parched landscape, causing the rats, and the disease, to stir. In the southern part of the country, the rains only served to make the humidity worse, perhaps forcing the rats to sit tight.

Keeping tabs on the spread of infectious disease is one thing; understanding the interaction of pathogens, hosts, and behavior is yet another.

Photo via Flickr / Yorick_R

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  • (Comment from original source - Jason) on May 20, 11 11:46AM

    This brands me as a colossal dork, but those Apple patents are for the design of the Apple ///, not the Mac. The Apple /// (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apple_III) was a very advanced 8-bit machine, sucessor to the Apple II, and Apple’s first big failure. It was also totally unrelated to the Mac, and didn’t even support a mouse. So there.

  • (Comment from original source - Chris S) on May 20, 11 12:45PM

    “a device similar to today’s track ball, which was inserted alongside radar screens and was used for retrieval of aircraft data. From 1966 to the American company Orbit produced such “Ball Tracker, ” (google translate of the Heise article)

    The track ball goes back *much* further than this. It was invented in 1952 by a Canadian company as part of the user interface for a radar / packet data system. The English Wikipedia entry is an accurate summary of this, although the German language one doesn’t mention it at all.

  • (Comment from original source - Simoleon Sense » Blog Archive » Weekly Roundup 128: A Curated Linkfest For The Smartest People On The Web) on May 22, 11 12:10AM

    [...] Importance: Fact-checking medical claims – via Decision Tree- In 2007/08, the work of Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler revealed that human behaviors, and even states of mind, tracked through social networks much like infectious disease. But according to a new research study, incorrect medical facts may be no different, galloping from person to person, even within the confines of the revered peer-reviewed scientific literature. And by looking at how studies cite facts about the incubation periods of certain viruses, a new study in PLoS ONE has found that quite often, data assumed to be medical fact isn’t based on evidence at all. [...]

  • (Comment from original source - Measuring infectious disease | The Decision Tree) on May 23, 11 11:19AM

    [...] may be ignored since they haven’t had enough time to generate a significant h-index score. But as I’ve discussed before, there is a clear trend of people working to bring public health data to light faster than before. [...]

  • (Comment from original source - Haggie) on May 24, 11 06:44PM

    To paraphrase the Blues Brothers, “If raw milk cheese kills me, I don’t mind dyin’…”

  • (Comment from original source - Brian Mossop) on May 24, 11 07:12PM

    Haggie: Ha – maybe you have a point! I hope you’ll tune it to find out what I uncover.

  • (Comment from original source - The rules of raw milk | The Decision Tree) on May 25, 11 05:37PM

    [...] Read post 1 here: So long, raw milk cheese [...]

  • (Comment from original source - Aaron) on May 25, 11 06:28PM

    Perhaps they should irradiate the cheese or use another sterilization method that does not change the taste. Irradiation is so underused!

    In my book, people should be free to buy whatever they want so long as their is a disclaimer and it is well above the market price.

  • (Comment from original source - Hilary) on Jun 06, 11 02:02PM

    Irradiation isn’t the answer. Raw dairy products is more complex issue than taste. For some people it is taste, for others it’s about health. When you irradiate something it doesn’t differentiate between harmful and helpful bacteria. It might sound gross in this day in age of over-sanitizing everything we can, but there are healthy helpful bacteria that are useful to our bodies and if we irradiate our food we’re altering it nutritionally. Same goes for pasteurization. Some people argue that cooking does too (though I think there are things that are meant to be cooked … though not overcooked or burnt.)

    Basically I want to be able to continue to choose to eat what I want how I want it. I would NOT buy raw milk from a farmer I didn’t trust. Raw milk cheese on the other hand is a little less likely to be a problem than plain raw milk. No chemical additives, no flash heat treatments, no irradiation, no genetically altered seeds.

    I want to retain that choice of what food I put in my body without having to buy a farm out in Timbuktu to grow it all myself. Where does it end?

    And the reason I’m a raw milk advocate is that it has helped me with my allergies when traditional drugs and shots did nothing. I’m not saying it was a cure all, just saying it’s one of several things I started doing and when I remove it my allergies do start coming back.

  • (Comment from original source - Tucker) on Jun 22, 11 05:51AM

    I was excited to see the Wired piece too, although I was would have liked some mention of feedback as part of larger more complete social systems. It seemed to focus on how on individual can minimize risk; i.e. negative feedback. What about positive feed back (hypcercycles or catalytic cycles)? Scientists have talked about feedback loops’ role in evolution, and I think that feedback loops are incredibly important for major social change. I wrote a blog on it:

    http://thefeedbackloop.org/2011/06/22/feedback-loops-stir-shit-up/

  • (Comment from original source - Alyson Kelvin) on Sep 07, 11 07:07AM

    Lovely reflection on climate and infectious disease. I will share this with the JIDC FB users.
    I find this to be a fascinating relationship.
    As I was doing some research a couple of weeks ago I became aware of this paper
    published in the JIDC. Not trying to plug the journal, but I highly recommend this article reviewing Cholera in the marine environment. Entitled: Influence of environmental factors
    on the presence of Vibrio cholerae in the marine environment: a climate link
    http://www.jidc.org/index.php/journal/article/view/19734600/207
    Before reading this paper I had not thought about this environmental relationship deeply. Of course Cholera would be connected to the marine environment (mainly I had thought of sewage), but I had not thought about the connection with weather patterns.

    Thanks,

    Alyson

  • (Comment from original source - Brian Mossop) on Sep 08, 11 10:32AM

    Thanks, Alyson. I thought people might like this PNAS study. For all the talk on climate change, I’m surprised that there isn’t more effort directed to understanding how this could impact public health and infectious disease. Thanks for sharing the links.

  • (Comment from original source - Muhammad Shahid) on Sep 12, 11 02:49AM

    Does not storms play an important role in the dissemination of Infectious diseases agents from one continent to other or to the neighboring countries?

  • (Comment from original source - Alyson Kelvin) on Sep 12, 11 06:15AM

    Hi there. Thanks again. Everyone really liked your write-up. It was shared many times by JIDC members.

  • (Comment from original source - Litquake » Being Human: Litquake Presents Brian Christian in Conversation with Thomas Goetz) on Sep 28, 11 04:33PM

    [...] a podcast of the introduction to Goetz’s book The Decision Tree: Navigating the Future of [...]

  • (Comment from original source - Litquake » Being Human: Brian Christian in Conversation with Thomas Goetz) on Sep 28, 11 04:36PM

    [...] a podcast of the introduction to Goetz’s book The Decision Tree: Navigating the Future of [...]

  • (Comment from original source - Treating Scoliosis) on Oct 05, 11 11:14AM

    Well that’s an interesting story. I can only imagine the possibilities of these “miracle berries” and what kinds of recipes would be created.

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